Predictions Match Details
Pro League · Sep 26, 2024 15:00

Espanyol
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Villarreal
PWR 43
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Espanyol to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack56
Defense67
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Espanyol Form LWWWW
STABLE
Villarreal Form LWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS52%
Under 2.551%
Espanyol Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Villarreal Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Espanyol
vs
1.03
Villarreal
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#155
Espanyol
-121
Gap
#34
Villarreal
WR 31% 59 pts WR 37% 98 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Espanyol45141714505359
Villarreal7026202410210898
Espanyol 16.0%
Sep 21 Espanyol v Real Ma… 4-1
Sep 14 Espanyol v Alavés 3-2
Sep 14 Espanyol v Alavés 3-2
Aug 31 Espanyol v Valencia 2-1
Aug 31 Espanyol v Rayo Va… 2-1
Aug 28 Espanyol v Real Ma… 0-0
Aug 24 Espanyol v Real So… 0-1
Aug 19 Espanyol v Vallado… 1-0
Jul 27 Espanyol v Girona 0-0
Jun 23 Espanyol v Oviedo 2-0
Villarreal 14.0%
Sep 22 Villarr… v FC Barc… 1-5
Sep 14 Villarr… v Mallorca 1-2
Sep 14 Villarr… v Mallorca 1-2
Aug 31 Villarr… v Valencia 1-1
Aug 26 Villarr… v Celta 4-3
Aug 23 Villarr… v Sevilla… 1-2
Aug 19 Villarr… v Real Ma… 2-2
Aug 06 Villarr… v Borussi… 2-2
Jun 15 Villarr… v Atlétic… 1-0
Jun 09 Villarr… v Sportin… 2-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Jan 20, 2024 Espanyol 2-1 Villarreal
Apr 27, 2023 Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Nov 09, 2022 Espanyol 0-1 Villarreal
Feb 27, 2022 Villarreal 5-1 Espanyol
Aug 21, 2021 Espanyol 0-0 Villarreal
Key Factors
Espanyol in strong form (4W in last 5)
Villarreal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.