Eredivisie · Aug 24, 2025 10:15

Heerenveen
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

FC Twente
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Heerenveen to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Heerenveen Form LDLWL
STABLE
FC Twente Form LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS25%
Under 2.557%
Heerenveen Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
FC Twente Goals
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Heerenveen
vs
0.33
FC Twente
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Heerenveen
-6
Gap
#6
FC Twente
WR 27% 25 pts WR 27% 34 pts
Heerenveen 6.0%
Aug 16 Heerenv… v Groning… 2-1
Aug 09 Heerenv… v FC Vole… 1-1
May 22 Heerenv… v AZ Alkm… 4-1
May 18 Heerenv… v Feyenoo… 2-0
May 14 Heerenv… v GO Ahea… 1-0
May 10 Heerenv… v Waalwijk 3-1
Apr 27 Heerenv… v Nijmegen 1-0
Apr 19 Heerenv… v Almere … 2-1
Apr 12 Heerenv… v Sparta … 3-1
Apr 04 Heerenv… v Willem … 3-1
FC Twente 4.0%
Aug 17 FC Twen… v PSV Ein… 0-2
Aug 10 FC Twen… v PEC Zwo… 1-0
May 25 FC Twen… v AZ Alkm… 3-2
May 22 FC Twen… v Nijmegen 3-2
May 18 FC Twen… v Ajax 2-0
May 14 FC Twen… v AZ Alkm… 2-3
May 11 FC Twen… v Utrecht 2-0
May 04 FC Twen… v Sparta … 0-2
Apr 24 FC Twen… v PSV Ein… 1-3
Apr 13 FC Twen… v Zwolle 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Feb 09, 2025 Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Sep 17, 2024 FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Sep 17, 2024 FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Apr 03, 2024 Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Apr 03, 2024 Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Sep 30, 2023 FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen
Jun 04, 2023 FC Twente 4-0 Heerenveen
Jun 01, 2023 Heerenveen 1-2 FC Twente
Mar 04, 2023 FC Twente 3-3 Heerenveen
Sep 18, 2022 Heerenveen 2-1 FC Twente
Key Factors
Heerenveen struggling (3L in last 5)
FC Twente struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.