Serie A · Apr 13, 2025 22:30
Fluminense
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Santos
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Fluminense to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%)
3-0 (14%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fluminense Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Santos Form
DLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS35%
Under 2.542%
Fluminense Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Santos Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Fluminensevs
0.47
SantosDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Fluminense+11
Gap#17
Santos
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Fluminense
8.0%
| Apr 06 | Flumineā¦ v RB Bragā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Flumineā¦ v Fortaleā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 29 | Flumineā¦ v PiauĆ | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | Flumineā¦ v PiauĆ | 2-2 |
| Mar 16 | Flumineā¦ v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 3-2 |
| Mar 13 | Flumineā¦ v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Flumineā¦ v Caxias | 1-2 |
| Mar 05 | Flumineā¦ v Votuporā¦ | 2-1 |
Santos
6.0%
| Apr 06 | Santos v Bahia | 2-2 |
| Apr 03 | Santos v RB Bragā¦ | 4-1 |
| Mar 30 | Santos v Vasco Dā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Santos v Remo | 2-0 |
| Mar 27 | Santos v Sport Rā¦ | 0-1 |
| Mar 20 | Santos v Moto Clā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Santos v Flumineā¦ | 3-2 |
| Mar 09 | Santos v Flumineā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Santos v Corinthā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Santos v Vitoria | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 16, 2025 | Santos | 3-2 | Fluminense |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Santos |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Santos |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Santos | 1-0 | Fluminense |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Santos | 2-1 | Fluminense |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-3 | Santos |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Santos | 0-3 | Fluminense |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Santos |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Santos |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Santos | 1-0 | Fluminense |
Key Factors
Santos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.