Serie A · Jul 12, 2025 21:30

Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Botafogo
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Vasco DA Gama Form WLLDW
STABLE
Botafogo Form WWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.510%
BTTS13%
Under 2.590%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Botafogo Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Vasco DA Gama
vs
0.26
Botafogo
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Vasco DA Ga…
-5
Gap
#8
Botafogo
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 3 pts
Vasco DA Gama 10.0%
Jun 13 Vasco D… v São Pau… 1-3
Jun 01 Vasco D… v RB Brag… 0-2
May 24 Vasco D… v Flumine… 2-1
May 20 Vasco D… v Operári… 1-1
May 17 Vasco D… v Fortale… 3-0
May 10 Vasco D… v Vitoria 2-1
May 04 Vasco D… v Palmeir… 0-1
May 01 Vasco D… v Operári… 1-1
Apr 27 Vasco D… v Cruzeiro 1-0
Apr 19 Vasco D… v Flamengo 0-0
Botafogo 12.0%
Jul 09 Botafogo v America… 2-1
Jul 09 Botafogo v Jataien… 1-0
Jul 07 Botafogo v São Ber… 1-1
Jul 06 Botafogo v Novoriz… 0-0
Jul 02 Botafogo v Remo 1-5
Jul 02 Botafogo v Comerci… 1-0
Jul 01 Botafogo v Cuiabá 0-1
Jun 30 Botafogo v AO Itab… 1-0
Jun 28 Botafogo v Palmeir… 1-0
Jun 25 Botafogo v Atlétic… 2-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Feb 23, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Botafogo
Nov 06, 2024 Botafogo 3-0 Vasco DA Gama
Jun 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1-1 Botafogo
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2-4 Vasco DA Gama
Nov 06, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Botafogo
Jul 02, 2023 Botafogo 2-0 Vasco DA Gama
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.