AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Sep 24, 2025

Vasco DA Gama

Home
VS
22:30

Bahia

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Vasco DA Gama Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Bahia Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.76 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Bahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Vasco DA Gama Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 1-1
Sep 14 Vasco DA … vs Ceará 2-2
Sep 12 Vasco DA … vs Botafogo 1-1
Aug 31 Vasco DA … vs Sport Rec… 2-3
Aug 28 Vasco DA … vs Botafogo 1-1
Aug 24 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 2-3
Aug 20 Vasco DA … vs Juventude 2-0
Aug 17 Vasco DA … vs Santos 0-6
Aug 10 Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… 1-1
Aug 07 Vasco DA … vs CSA 3-1
Bahia Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Bahia vs São Paulo… 1-0
Sep 20 Bahia vs Ceará 1-1
Sep 16 Bahia vs Vasco U17 4-5
Sep 15 Bahia vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Sep 10 Bahia vs Fluminense 2-0
Sep 06 Bahia vs Confiança 5-0
Sep 04 Bahia vs Confiança 1-4
Sep 02 Bahia vs America M… 1-3
Aug 31 Bahia vs Mirassol 5-1
Aug 28 Bahia vs Fluminense 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bahia struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Bahia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Vasco DA Gama Position

-8

Position Gap

7

Bahia Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.