AI Match Insights

Pro League Mar 29, 2024

Watford

Home
VS
15:00

Southampton

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Watford Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Southampton Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.08 - 1.92
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Watford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Watford Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Watford vs Newport C… 1-2
Mar 17 Watford vs Morecambe 3-1
Mar 16 Watford vs Birmingham 0-1
Mar 16 Watford vs Birmingham 0-1
Mar 14 Watford vs Stockport 2-2
Mar 09 Watford vs Coventry 1-2
Mar 09 Watford vs Milton Ke… 3-1
Mar 09 Watford vs Milton Ke… 3-1
Mar 06 Watford vs Swansea 1-1
Mar 06 Watford vs Swansea 1-1
Southampton Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Southampt… vs Accringto… 3-1
Mar 16 Southampt… vs Forest Gr… 0-1
Mar 16 Southampt… vs Forest Gr… 0-1
Mar 12 Southampt… vs Crewe 1-0
Mar 09 Southampt… vs Sunderland 4-2
Mar 09 Southampt… vs Grimsby 1-1
Mar 02 Southampt… vs Birmingham 3-4
Mar 02 Southampt… vs Tranmere … 1-0
Mar 02 Southampt… vs Birmingham 3-4
Feb 27 Southampt… vs Newport C… 3-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Watford in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Southampton in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2024 Southampton 3 - 0 Watford FA Cup
Jan 28, 2024 Watford 1 - 1 Southampton FA Cup
Dec 09, 2023 Watford 1 - 1 Southampton Championship
Dec 09, 2023 Watford 1 - 1 Southampton Pro League
Jul 23, 2022 Watford 0 - 0 Southampton Friendlies Clu…
Mar 13, 2022 Southampton 1 - 2 Watford Premier League
Oct 30, 2021 Watford 0 - 1 Southampton Premier League
Jun 28, 2020 Watford 1 - 3 Southampton Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Watford to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Watford Power 36
Southampton Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.