AI Match Insights

Pro League Mar 03, 2024

Manchester City

Home
VS
15:00

Manchester United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Manchester City Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Manchester United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.49 - 1.28
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 2-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Manchester City Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Mancheste… vs Watford 1-1
Feb 27 Mancheste… vs Watford 1-1
Feb 24 Mancheste… vs Bournemou… 0-1
Feb 24 Mancheste… vs Southampt… 1-1
Feb 20 Mancheste… vs Brentford 1-0
Feb 20 Mancheste… vs Brentford 1-0
Feb 17 Mancheste… vs Chelsea 1-1
Feb 17 Mancheste… vs Accringto… 1-1
Feb 17 Mancheste… vs Accringto… 1-1
Feb 17 Mancheste… vs Chelsea 1-1
Manchester United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Mancheste… vs Fulham 1-2
Feb 24 Mancheste… vs Fulham 1-2
Feb 18 Mancheste… vs Bolton 1-2
Feb 11 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Feb 11 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Feb 04 Mancheste… vs West Brom 3-0
Feb 04 Mancheste… vs West Brom 3-0
Feb 01 Mancheste… vs Wolves 3-4
Feb 01 Mancheste… vs Wolves 3-4
Jan 14 Mancheste… vs Tottenham 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2023 Manchester United 0 - 3 Manchester City Premier League
Jun 03, 2023 Manchester City 2 - 1 Manchester United FA Cup
Jan 14, 2023 Manchester United 2 - 1 Manchester City Premier League
Oct 02, 2022 Manchester City 6 - 3 Manchester United Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Manchester City to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester City Power 46
Manchester United Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.