Pro League · Jan 13, 2024 15:00
Newcastle United
PWR 35
Manchester City
PWR 46
Newcastle United
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Manchester City
PWR 46
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
2-0 (5%)
2-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack61
Defense71
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Newcastle Unit… Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Manchester City Form
DLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS72%
Under 2.528%
Newcastle U… Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Manchester … Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Newcastle Unit…vs
1.37
Manchester CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#94
Newcastle U…-88
Gap#6
Manchester …
WR 47% 72 pts
WR 41% 186 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 90 | 70 | 72 |
| Manchester City | 120 | 49 | 39 | 32 | 181 | 144 | 186 |
Newcastle Unit…
4.0%
| Jan 06 | Newcast… v Sunderl… | 0-3 |
| Jan 01 | Newcast… v Liverpo… | 4-2 |
| Jan 01 | Newcast… v Liverpo… | 4-2 |
| Dec 26 | Newcast… v Notting… | 1-3 |
| Dec 23 | Newcast… v Bolton | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Newcast… v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Dec 16 | Newcast… v Fulham | 3-0 |
| Dec 16 | Newcast… v Fulham | 3-0 |
| Dec 13 | Newcast… v AC Milan | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Newcast… v Tottenh… | 4-1 |
Manchester City
6.0%
| Jan 06 | Manches… v Swindon | 2-2 |
| Jan 01 | Manches… v Birming… | 0-1 |
| Jan 01 | Manches… v Birming… | 0-1 |
| Dec 30 | Manches… v Sheffie… | 2-0 |
| Dec 29 | Manches… v AFC Wim… | 5-3 |
| Dec 27 | Manches… v Everton | 1-3 |
| Dec 26 | Manches… v Milton … | 1-0 |
| Dec 26 | Manches… v Milton … | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Manches… v Watford | 2-1 |
| Dec 22 | Manches… v Watford | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Sep 27, 2023 | Newcastle Uni… | 1-0 | Manchester Ci… |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 1-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 2-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Newcastle Uni… | 3-3 | Manchester Ci… |
| May 08, 2022 | Manchester Ci… | 5-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Newcastle Uni… | 0-4 | Manchester Ci… |
Key Factors
Newcastle United struggling (4L in last 5)
Manchester City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.