Pro League · Dec 26, 2023 15:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Liverpool
PWR 38
Burnley
PWR 25
0 - 2
FT
Liverpool
PWR 38
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Burnley to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (18%)
0-2 (13%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 75%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy68%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConfidence 74.6% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack49
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.4
Burnley Form
WWWWL
UP
Liverpool Form
DDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS35%
Under 2.566%
Burnley Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Liverpool Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Burnleyvs
1.44
LiverpoolDecision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Burnley+30
Gap#31
Liverpool
WR 39% 222 pts
WR 68% 100 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 149 | 58 | 48 | 43 | 212 | 193 | 222 |
| Liverpool | 44 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 104 | 48 | 100 |
Burnley
16.0%
| Dec 23 | Burnley v Stevena… | 2-1 |
| Dec 23 | Burnley v Fulham | 0-2 |
| Dec 23 | Burnley v Stevena… | 2-1 |
| Dec 23 | Burnley v Fulham | 0-2 |
| Dec 16 | Burnley v Everton | 0-2 |
| Dec 16 | Burnley v Charlton | 1-1 |
| Dec 16 | Burnley v Everton | 0-2 |
| Dec 09 | Burnley v Brighton | 1-1 |
| Dec 09 | Burnley v Reading… | 1-3 |
| Dec 09 | Burnley v Reading… | 1-3 |
Liverpool
14.0%
| Dec 23 | Liverpo… v Arsenal | 1-1 |
| Dec 23 | Liverpo… v Arsenal | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Liverpo… v West Br… | 5-1 |
| Dec 17 | Liverpo… v Manches… | 0-0 |
| Dec 09 | Liverpo… v Crystal… | 1-2 |
| Dec 06 | Liverpo… v Sheffie… | 0-2 |
| Dec 03 | Liverpo… v Fulham | 4-3 |
| Dec 03 | Liverpo… v Fulham | 4-3 |
| Nov 25 | Liverpo… v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | Liverpo… v Manches… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 13, 2022 | Burnley | 0-1 | Liverpool |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Burnley |
| May 19, 2021 | Burnley | 0-3 | Liverpool |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Liverpool | 0-1 | Burnley |
| Jul 11, 2020 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.