AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Nov 26, 2023

Everton

Home
VS
15:00

Manchester United

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Everton Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Manchester United Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.32 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Everton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Everton Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Everton vs Brighton 1-1
Nov 01 Everton vs Burnley 3-0
Oct 07 Everton vs Bournemouā€¦ 3-0
Sep 27 Everton vs Aston Vilā€¦ 1-2
Sep 23 Everton vs Brentford 1-3
Sep 17 Everton vs Arsenal 0-1
Aug 26 Everton vs Wolves 0-1
Aug 20 Everton vs Aston Vilā€¦ 4-0
Aug 12 Everton vs Fulham 0-1
May 28 Everton vs Bournemouā€¦ 1-0
Manchester United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Manchesteā€¦ vs Fulham 0-1
Nov 01 Manchesteā€¦ vs Newcastleā€¦ 0-3
Oct 29 Manchesteā€¦ vs Manchesteā€¦ 0-3
Oct 24 Manchesteā€¦ vs Grimsby 2-3
Sep 30 Manchesteā€¦ vs Crystal Pā€¦ 0-1
Sep 26 Manchesteā€¦ vs Crystal Pā€¦ 3-0
Sep 23 Manchesteā€¦ vs Burnley 0-1
Sep 16 Manchesteā€¦ vs Brighton 1-3
Sep 03 Manchesteā€¦ vs Arsenal 3-1
Aug 19 Manchesteā€¦ vs Tottenham 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Everton in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Manchester United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Everton to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Everton Power 35
Manchester United Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.