AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Apr 27, 2024

Burnley

Home
VS
15:00

Northampton Town FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Burnley Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Northampton Town FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.65 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Burnley Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Burnley vs Blackpool 3-2
Apr 20 Burnley vs Blackpool 3-2
Apr 20 Burnley vs Sheffield… 1-4
Apr 20 Burnley vs Gateshead 2-1
Apr 16 Burnley vs Portsmout… 3-2
Apr 16 Burnley vs Portsmout… 3-2
Apr 16 Burnley vs Oxford Un… 1-3
Apr 13 Burnley vs Brighton 1-1
Apr 13 Burnley vs Reading FC 2-2
Apr 13 Burnley vs Brighton 1-1
Northampton Town FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Northampt… vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Apr 20 Northampt… vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Apr 13 Northampt… vs Fleetwood… 2-0
Apr 13 Northampt… vs Fleetwood… 2-0
Apr 06 Northampt… vs Carlisle 2-0
Apr 01 Northampt… vs Port Vale 2-0
Apr 01 Northampt… vs Port Vale 2-0
Mar 29 Northampt… vs Reading FC 1-0
Mar 29 Northampt… vs Reading FC 1-0
Mar 23 Northampt… vs Derby 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burnley struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 23, 2023 Northampton Town FC 1 - 2 Burnley League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Burnley to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burnley Power 25
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.