AI Match Insights

Pro League Dec 26, 2023

Stevenage

Home
VS
15:00

Northampton Town FC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Northampton Town FC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.74 - 1.44
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Stevenage Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Stevenage vs Burnley 2-1
Dec 23 Stevenage vs Burnley 2-1
Dec 16 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 1-1
Dec 16 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 1-1
Dec 09 Stevenage vs Bolton 1-2
Dec 09 Stevenage vs Brighton 1-2
Nov 28 Stevenage vs Peterboro… 2-2
Nov 28 Stevenage vs Peterboro… 2-2
Nov 25 Stevenage vs Fleetwood… 0-3
Nov 18 Stevenage vs Lincoln 1-0
Northampton Town FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Northampt… vs Oxford Un… 2-1
Dec 16 Northampt… vs Carlisle 2-2
Dec 09 Northampt… vs Fleetwood… 3-0
Dec 02 Northampt… vs Portsmout… 0-3
Nov 28 Northampt… vs Blackpool 1-2
Nov 28 Northampt… vs Blackpool 1-2
Nov 25 Northampt… vs Cambridge… 2-1
Nov 11 Northampt… vs Brighton 2-0
Oct 21 Northampt… vs Bolton 2-1
Oct 03 Northampt… vs Reading FC 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Northampton Town FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 05, 2023 Northampton Town FC 0 - 1 Stevenage League One
Apr 01, 2023 Northampton Town FC 1 - 1 Stevenage League Two
Oct 22, 2022 Stevenage 2 - 3 Northampton Town FC League Two
Mar 15, 2022 Stevenage 1 - 2 Northampton Town FC League Two
Oct 19, 2021 Northampton Town FC 3 - 0 Stevenage League Two
Nov 17, 2020 Northampton Town FC 0 - 0 Stevenage EFL Trophy
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stevenage to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stevenage Power 36
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.