Pro League · Sep 28, 2024 15:00
Newcastle United
PWR 35
Manchester City
PWR 46
Newcastle United
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Manchester City
PWR 46
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack61
Defense71
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Newcastle Unit… Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Manchester City Form
DWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS61%
Under 2.541%
Newcastle U… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Manchester … Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Newcastle Unit…vs
1.28
Manchester CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#94
Newcastle U…-88
Gap#6
Manchester …
WR 47% 72 pts
WR 41% 186 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 90 | 70 | 72 |
| Manchester City | 120 | 49 | 39 | 32 | 181 | 144 | 186 |
Newcastle Unit…
12.0%
| Sep 21 | Newcast… v Fulham | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Newcast… v Fulham | 3-1 |
| Sep 15 | Newcast… v Wolves | 1-2 |
| Sep 15 | Newcast… v Wolves | 1-2 |
| Sep 01 | Newcast… v Tottenh… | 2-1 |
| Sep 01 | Newcast… v Tottenh… | 2-1 |
| Aug 25 | Newcast… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Newcast… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Newcast… v Southam… | 1-0 |
| May 22 | Newcast… v Tottenh… | 1-1 |
Manchester City
16.0%
| Sep 22 | Manches… v Arsenal | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | Manches… v Tranmer… | 3-0 |
| Sep 17 | Manches… v Milton … | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Manches… v Morecam… | 3-3 |
| Sep 14 | Manches… v Brentfo… | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Manches… v Brentfo… | 2-1 |
| Sep 07 | Manches… v Burnley | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Manches… v Accring… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Manches… v West Br… | 1-3 |
| Aug 31 | Manches… v West Br… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Mar 16, 2024 | Manchester Ci… | 2-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Newcastle Uni… | 2-3 | Manchester Ci… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Newcastle Uni… | 2-3 | Manchester Ci… |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Newcastle Uni… | 1-0 | Manchester Ci… |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 1-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 2-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Newcastle Uni… | 3-3 | Manchester Ci… |
| May 08, 2022 | Manchester Ci… | 5-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Newcastle Uni… | 0-4 | Manchester Ci… |
Key Factors
Newcastle United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Manchester City in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.