1X2 Sharp Edge - Benfica v Alverca, SC Braga v Rio Ave FC
🎯 SHARP EDGE
Strong form + odds alignment
LOST Feb 08, 2026 18:00 - 20:30
Back
2
Games
2
Won
0
Lost
0
Pending
1.77x
Odds
LOW
Risk
80%
Confidence
67.6%
Est. Win Chance
100.0%
Accuracy
2/2
Validated
Games (2)
Primeira Liga • 20:30 ✓ WON
#3 Benfica (49pts)
2
#10 Alverca (24pts)
1
📋 Basic
Home Win
1.18x
82% conf
Score: 4-1
Score miss
ΔH 2 | ΔA 0
+7 pos
MASTER 1-0 81% conf H: 71% | D: 12% | A: 17%
Power: 35 vs 35
Form: DDWWL / DLWWL
Benfica
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L
Goals: 9 GF / 2 GA
Avg/Game: 1.8 - 0.4
Clean Sheets: 4
Alverca
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L
Goals: 5 GF / 11 GA
Avg/Game: 1.0 - 2.2
Clean Sheets: 1
Rules Matched:
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Benfica
Form (L5)
2W 2D 1L
Goals
9 GF / 2 GA
Avg/Game
1.8 - 0.4
Clean Sheets
4
Alverca
Form (L5)
2W 1D 2L
Goals
5 GF / 11 GA
Avg/Game
1.0 - 2.2
Clean Sheets
1
Score Prediction: 4-1
Based on: xG 4.10 - 1.00
BTTS: 62% O2.5: 65% U2.5: 35%
O/U 2.5: OVER (✓)
xG diff: 3.10
How AI Made This Prediction
  • Player Ratings: Analyzed top 5 player ratings from recent matches
  • Team Momentum: Dixon-Coles xG model + last 5 match form
  • Standings: Position gap, home/away win rates, points per game
  • Market Intelligence: Bookmaker odds consensus from 5+ sources
  • Risk Filters: Draw probability, both teams with draws in form, losing streaks
Lineup Power Rating
Benfica
35%
ATK: 0 | DEF: 100
Alverca
35%
ATK: 0 | DEF: 100
Form & Momentum
Home Form
D D W W L
STABLE
Away Form
D L W W L
STABLE
Predicted Score
1-0
Win Probabilities
H: 71% D: 12% A: 17%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
25%
Data Quality: 100%
Territorial Dominance
BALANCED
Home
50%
Away
32%
Corner Dom.
53%
Pressure Δ
+4.0
Dominance
BALANCED
Head-to-Head Record
No H2H data available
Goal Patterns
Avg Goals/Game
2.5
Under 2.5 Rate
50%
Stylistic Friction
Defensive Match
Primeira Liga • 18:00 ✓ WON
#4 SC Braga (39pts)
3
#14 Rio Ave FC (20pts)
0
📋 Basic
Home Win
1.50x
77% conf
Score: 4-1
Score miss
ΔH 1 | ΔA 1
+10 pos
MASTER 1-0 81% conf H: 71% | D: 12% | A: 17%
Power: 35 vs 35
Form: WDWDW / LLLWL
SC Braga
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L
Goals: 12 GF / 2 GA
Avg/Game: 2.4 - 0.4
Clean Sheets: 4
Rio Ave FC
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L
Goals: 3 GF / 14 GA
Avg/Game: 0.6 - 2.8
Clean Sheets: 0
Rules Matched:
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE AWAY_FORM_POOR
SC Braga
Form (L5)
3W 2D 0L
Goals
12 GF / 2 GA
Avg/Game
2.4 - 0.4
Clean Sheets
4
Rio Ave FC
Form (L5)
1W 0D 4L
Goals
3 GF / 14 GA
Avg/Game
0.6 - 2.8
Clean Sheets
0
Score Prediction: 4-1
Based on: xG 3.70 - 1.10
BTTS: 65% O2.5: 69% U2.5: 31%
O/U 2.5: OVER (✓) BTTS: YES (✗)
xG diff: 2.60
How AI Made This Prediction
  • Player Ratings: Analyzed top 5 player ratings from recent matches
  • Team Momentum: Dixon-Coles xG model + last 5 match form
  • Standings: Position gap, home/away win rates, points per game
  • Market Intelligence: Bookmaker odds consensus from 5+ sources
  • Risk Filters: Draw probability, both teams with draws in form, losing streaks
Lineup Power Rating
SC Braga
35%
ATK: 0 | DEF: 100
Rio Ave FC
35%
ATK: 0 | DEF: 100
Form & Momentum
Home Form
W D W D W
STABLE
Away Form
L L L W L
DOWN
Predicted Score
1-0
Win Probabilities
H: 71% D: 12% A: 17%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
25%
Data Quality: 100%
Territorial Dominance
BALANCED
Home
50%
Away
32%
Corner Dom.
53%
Pressure Δ
+4.0
Dominance
BALANCED
Head-to-Head Record
No H2H data available
Goal Patterns
Avg Goals/Game
2.5
Under 2.5 Rate
50%
Stylistic Friction
Defensive Match